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Primary Research Reports

FedEx and the recession

FedEx and the recession

While the unfolding recession has yet to be widely accepted, FedEx’s share price has been pricing it in for eighteen months.

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Ignore the inflation noise

Ignore the inflation noise

Major stock indices sold off 4% to 5% in response to a higher-than-expected CPI in August. Is the CPI new information or noise?

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Oracle foresees hypergrowth

Oracle foresees hypergrowth

Oracle has visibility into cloud hypergrowth and vast healthcare opportunities with increasing competitive strength.

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S&P 500: The path forward

S&P 500: The path forward

With the S&P 500 cementing a head and shoulders top, the bond market is signaling the likely path forward for those who are looking.

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Is Aspen Aerogels the next 10 bagger?

Is Aspen Aerogels the next 10 bagger?

With one of the most prolific growth profiles in the marketplace and the backing of a top-tier investment firm, Aspen Aerogels offers a rare tenbagger opportunity.

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Pfizer and how it could double

Pfizer and how it could double

Pfizer is executing an aggressive growth strategy while trading at a deeply discounted valuation atop unusually strong technical support.

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Will PayPal deliver alpha?

Will PayPal deliver alpha?

PayPal is the growth and market leader in the fintech space while consistently outperforming its peer group by nearly 2x.

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Will Ford surpass Tesla by 2025?

Will Ford surpass Tesla by 2025?

Ford’s autonomous vehicle leadership, superior strategic roadmap, and AI advantage may indeed make it more valuable than Tesla by 2025.

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Snap: Unconstrained growth in the metaverse

Snap: Unconstrained growth in the metaverse

Snap offers peer-leading growth, rapidly expanding profitability, and is strategically positioned at the intersection of social media and augmented reality.

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CrowdStrike is all risk, no reward

CrowdStrike is all risk, no reward

CrowdStrike trades at an extreme valuation while experiencing decelerating sales growth, intensifying competition and pricing pressure.

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Airbnb remains on an extended stay

Airbnb remains on an extended stay

Airbnb trades at an extreme valuation while revenue growth is rapidly decelerating creating downside asymmetry in its expected return profile.

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Barrick Gold is on the efficient frontier

Barrick Gold is on the efficient frontier

Barrick is an industry leader and consolidator in a commodity bull market supported by a strong balance sheet, substantial free cash flow generation, and an attractive valuation.

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Pfizer is an asymmetric growth opportunity

Pfizer is an asymmetric growth opportunity

Pfizer’s shares are unbounded to the upside while the downside is anchored by strong fundamentals, an incredibly low valuation, and long-term technical support.

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Amazon is lost in the jungle

Amazon is lost in the jungle

Amazon is at risk of missing estimates in the face of a low return investment cycle while trading at an elevated valuation.

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Square is operating outside the box

Square is operating outside the box

The recent acquisition red flags combined with the surprise Sunday earnings report place Square’s outperformance in the spotlight.

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Sunrun is walking a fine line

Sunrun is walking a fine line

Sunrun’s business model is generating increasing levels of negative free cash flow. Will Sunrun ever be in the black?

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Lululemon is trying to stick a landing

Lululemon is trying to stick a landing

Lululemon has a heightened risk of disappointing earnings growth in 2022 due to margin contraction. The risk is amplified by an elevated valuation and intensifying competition.

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Is the boom over for Zoom?

Is the boom over for Zoom?

Zoom is a negative risk/reward due to an elevated valuation, rapidly decelerating sales growth and initial signs of margin pressure.

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Peloton is pushing itself to the limit

Peloton is pushing itself to the limit

Peloton faces extraordinary execution risk in the face of slowing sales, heavy investment requirements, and a strained balance sheet.

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GoodRx needs a transformation script

GoodRx needs a transformation script

GoodRx is building the leading, consumer-focused digital healthcare platform in the United States. The ambitious plan raises the stakes.

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Sunrun is flying too close to the sun

Sunrun is flying too close to the sun

A review of Sunrun’s financial performance through Q2 of 2021 will illuminate the structural challenges facing its business model.

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EOG Resources has pent up energy

EOG Resources has pent up energy

EOG Resources is among the highest quality US oil and natural gas producers. The company has a premium asset base across the most prolific shale basins in the United States.

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Ross Stores expects to earn less

Ross Stores expects to earn less

Ross gave very weak guidance for the second half of the year while the shares continue to trade at a premium valuation.

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Roblox is in the metaverse

Roblox is in the metaverse

Roblox is arguably one of the most exciting growth stories. All told, Roblox should be on the watchlist for aggressive growth investors.

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Airbnb is on an extended stay

Airbnb is on an extended stay

Airbnb has been subdued given the many opposing macro forces acting on its business. The elevated valuation carries elevated risk.

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3D Systems is printing an uptrend

3D Systems is printing an uptrend

The success of 3D Systems hinges on the capital allocation decisions that will be made. There is reason for optimism given recent improvements.

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Datadog is off its leash

Datadog is off its leash

Datadog is performing well on the business front. With the breakout to new all-time highs, the question remains one of valuation.

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Akamai is looking for the next wave

Akamai is looking for the next wave

Akamai is a leader in the intelligent edge. Given the healthy business outlook, the investment case rests on Akamai’s valuation.

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Lyft is stuck in traffic

Lyft is stuck in traffic

Lyft’s lack of cash flow and profitability creates a challenging backdrop for the elevated valuation of its shares.

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Clorox is getting cleaned out

Clorox is getting cleaned out

Clorox provided guidance for 2022 that is well below expectations with negative macro trends. Multiple compression risk is high.

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Square is pushing valuation limits

Square is pushing valuation limits

Square pulled out all the stops in announcing its second quarter earnings five days early raising red flags in the process.

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PayPal has been paid in full

PayPal has been paid in full

PayPal Holdings is a market leader in the digital payments industry and as such has created lofty expectations.

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Teladoc Health needs a wellness check

Teladoc Health needs a wellness check

Teladoc Health is showing signs of fatigue in virtual healthcare. While COVID provided a shot in the arm, it is time for a wellness check.

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Polaris may kick up some dust

Polaris may kick up some dust

Polaris finds itself in the enviable position of selling the majority of its products prior to having the actual inventory to meet the demand.

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Beyond Meat is beyond profitability

Beyond Meat is beyond profitability

Beyond Meat experienced rapid revenue growth in recent years but is now hitting a soft spot in the marketplace with conditions worsening.

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Ross Stores is earning less

Ross Stores is earning less

Ross trades at an extreme valuation in relation to its mature growth prospects while the current macro environment is decidedly negative for Ross.

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Flex is ready to flex its muscles

Flex is ready to flex its muscles

Flex is the manufacturer and critical supply chain partner to many of today’s leading brands. The current valuation does not reflect this reality.

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NVIDIA is at the top of its game

NVIDIA is at the top of its game

NVIDIA’s extraordinary valuation reflects its leadership while pricing in much of the foreseeable future leaving little on the table.

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Datadog is in the doghouse

Datadog is in the doghouse

Datadog became a highflyer in 2020. The extreme valuation creates extraordinary risk while the growth rate is set to decline.

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AngloGold Ashanti is going for the gold

AngloGold Ashanti is going for the gold

AngloGold Ashanti is nearing the end of a transition phase, laying the foundation for a higher quality gold investment with growth potential.

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Intel offers intel on expectations

Intel offers intel on expectations

Intel recently announced an ambitious growth plan and a recommitment to its integrated device manufacturing (IDM) business model.

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Snap valuation coming into focus

Snap valuation coming into focus

Snap delivered 66% revenue growth in Q1 and projects the trend to continue, as such, the investment case revolves around valuation.

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The Trade Desk is a trade

The Trade Desk is a trade

The Trade Desk is trading at an extreme valuation which is pricing in much of the foreseeable future leaving little on the table for new investors.

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Mastercard has a payment problem

Mastercard has a payment problem

Mastercard was unusually weak year in 2020. The lack of organic growth while trading at an extreme valuation creates a heightened risk.

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Tesla is running low on energy

Tesla is running low on energy

Tesla is the most extremely valued U.S. mega-cap company. The extraordinary valuation for an auto OEM has no historical precedent.

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BWX Technologies is set for takeoff

BWX Technologies is set for takeoff

BWX Technologies offers an enticing investment in exciting growth opportunities while operating behind a wide competitive moat.

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AMC investors need more than free popcorn

AMC investors need more than free popcorn

At a current equity valuation of $27 billion, the stock of the company is being valued at 246x peak earnings of recent years. Unfortunately, the fundamentals of the company have been deteriorating well before this…

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Virgin Galactic is in the stratosphere

Virgin Galactic is in the stratosphere

Virgin Galactic is rallying 30% on news that the FAA has licensed it for commercial passengers. This is not news, thereby creating extreme risk.

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Amazon has entered the jungle

Amazon has entered the jungle

Amazon was the largest beneficiary of the COVID lockdowns, a perfect storm to take market share. This is about to change.

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Etsy at risk of weak demand

Etsy at risk of weak demand

Etsy acquired a retail clothing marketplace, Depop, for 23x sales raising a red flag for demand at its core marketplace business.

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Workday has a tough job ahead of it

Workday has a tough job ahead of it

Workday has exited its hypergrowth phase yet its valuation multiple has not, thereby creating downside risk for the stock.

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